Uruguay vs Spain Predictions

Uruguay head into the final round of the FIFA World Cup group stage with everything still to play for. Marcelo Bielsa's side now faces its toughest challenge yet against Spain, a team that has grown stronger with each match and remains one of the favorites to finish top of Group H. For La Celeste, this could be the last opportunity to keep their World Cup hopes alive.

• Spain have yet to concede a goal at the FIFA World Cup
• Uruguay are winless in their last six matches
• Spain have never lost to Uruguay in an official meeting

Uruguay vs Spain Predictions

Spain appear to be hitting top form at exactly the right time. After opening the tournament with a goalless draw, La Roja responded in emphatic fashion by defeating Saudi Arabia 4-0, showcasing the quality and depth of their attacking unit. Uruguay, meanwhile, have struggled to find consistency. They have failed to win either of their group-stage matches and have looked vulnerable defensively while lacking creativity in the final third. If Spain control possession as expected, Uruguay could find it difficult to cope with the constant pressure.

Our prediction: Over 2.5 Goals – Odds 2.10 (110)

Spain possess enough attacking quality to create plenty of chances, while Uruguay are likely to take a more aggressive approach knowing that three points could be essential. That combination should lead to an entertaining contest with several scoring opportunities.

Uruguay vs Spain Betting Odds

The bookmakers clearly see Spain as the stronger side heading into this encounter. Spain are available at around 1.65 (-154) to claim all three points, while a Uruguay victory is priced at approximately 6.30 (530). The draw can be backed at around 3.80 (280), reflecting the gap in current form between the two nations.

Predicted Lineups

Spain manager Luis de la Fuente rotated his squad during the opening two matches, but with first place in the group still at stake, he is expected to field one of his strongest possible starting elevens. Victor Munoz remains doubtful as he continues to recover from injury. Uruguay also have fitness concerns, with Ronald Araujo still racing against time to be available. His absence would represent another significant setback for a defense that has already looked far from convincing.

• Uruguay: Muslera – Valera, Caceres, Olivera, Sanabria – Ugarte, Canobbio, Valverde, Bentancur, Araujo – Vinas
• Spain: Simon – Porro, Cubarsi, Laporte, Cucurella – Olmo, Rodri, Pedri – Yamal, Oyarzabal, Baena

Recent Results

Spain enter the final group-stage match with four points. They began the tournament with a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde before producing an impressive 4-0 victory over Saudi Arabia in their second outing. Uruguay have also drawn both of their matches so far. A 1-1 draw with Saudi Arabia was followed by an entertaining 2-2 result against Cape Verde, leaving Bielsa's side under pressure heading into their final Group H fixture.

Uruguay – Last Five Matches

22.06.2026 – Uruguay 2:2 Cape Verde (2026 World Cup)

16.06.2026 – Saudi Arabia 1:1 Uruguay (2026 World Cup)

31.03.2026 – Algeria 0:0 Uruguay (Friendly)

27.03.2026 – England 1:1 Uruguay (Friendly)

19.11.2025 – USA 5:1 Uruguay (Friendly)

Spain – Last Five Matches

21.06.2026 – Spain 4:0 Saudi Arabia (2026 World Cup)

15.06.2026 – Spain 0:0 Cape Verde (2026 World Cup

09.06.2026 – Peru 1:3 Spain (Friendly)

04.06.2026 – Spain 1:1 Iraq (Friendly)

31.03.2026 – Spain 0:0 Egypt (Friendly)

Uruguay vs Spain at the FIFA World Cup

The battle for qualification in Group H is set for a dramatic conclusion. Although every team in the group still has something to fight for, Spain are in the strongest position heading into the final round. They have looked composed throughout the tournament, controlling matches for long periods and gradually building momentum. Uruguay, on the other hand, can no longer afford to play cautiously. A draw may not be enough to secure progression, meaning Bielsa's team is expected to take more risks than in previous matches. That could leave additional space for Spain's talented attackers to exploit on the counterattack.

Broadcast Information

Uruguay will face Spain on Saturday, June 27, at 9:00 PM BST (UK time) / 5:00 PM EDT (US Eastern Time). Depending on your country, broadcast information can be found on the official FIFA website. Check out our other predictions as well.